Salesfire Summit 2026: Do you know which orders lost you money this week?

Salesfire Summit 2026: Do you know which orders lost you money this week?

Revenue is not profit. The orders quietly losing you money rarely show up until the numbers are run. Set the contribution margin you need, and the calculator works back through what a Shopify order really costs you. It returns the most you can afford to spend winning a customer, and the ROAS that demands.

Shopify brands choose Herd for growth

Face the Future
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Spitfire Audio

Your ROAS target is only as good as your margin data

Reported ROAS looks healthy. Revenue climbs. But the bank balance doesn't move.

That's because the target itself was built on incomplete numbers. Cost of goods, discounts, platform and payment fees, fulfilment and returns all come out of the same order before advertising gets its share. Whatever survives is your acquisition budget.

Work it backwards and the constraint becomes obvious: a 30% contribution margin on a £50 order can leave under £3 to win a customer - which needs a 20x ROAS. If your media can't reach that, either the target is wrong, or the cost base is.

Margin Guard folds all of that into your ROAS target automatically. Calculate your true acquisition budget.

Does your profit work?

Target cont. margin The contribution margin you are aiming for 30%
Sales revenue (inc. delivery income) For the product/order - excluding tax £50
COGS Cost of goods sold including all inbound landing fees £20
Discounts (e.g. product or welcome offer)£5
Platform/payment fees (e.g. Shopify)£1
Fulfilment & returns Costs of outbound fulfilment & delivery £6.5
Monthly media spend Context only - changes none of the figures above £20000
Agency management fee Context only - changes none of the figures above £2000

This is the same logic Margin Guard runs on every order, automatically - flagging the ones losing you money the moment they're paid. Use the calculator to see where your own target should sit.

The ROAS required to achieve your target margin

Want to see the full breakdown?

Directional estimate from the figures you entered. Real contribution moves with channel mix, cohort behaviour and seasonality.

Your costs breakdown

Press Calculate to see the ROAS you need.

Total costs (exc. ads)
Total costs
Net contribution

How we got here

True margin on every order the moment it's paid

Calculate your real margins

Get your 14 day free trial on the Shopify App store. Pre-register for your 30% off Margin Guard.

Download our Salesfire Summit 2026 slides

Thanks for joining us at the Summit. The deck covers the full session. If you want to learn more, you know where to find us.